Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Nigeria Under-20s had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Nigeria Under-20s win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.