Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 25, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Uruguay U20s
2 - 3
England U20s

Gonzalez (49'), Abaldo (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Humphreys (22'), Devine (45+4'), Gyabi (90+5')

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Uruguay Under-20s and England Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay Under-20s

Last Game: Uruguay U20s 4-0 Iraq U20s
Monday, May 22 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

England Under-20s

All competitions

Last Game: England U20s 1-0 Tunisia U20s
Monday, May 22 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Under-22s	3	5	6
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	1	6
3	Chile Under-21s	3	-3	6
4	England Under-20s	3	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for England Under-20s had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a England Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	England Under-20s
64.52% ( 3.52)	20.82% ( -1.52)	14.67% ( -1.99)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

2.68)

47.27% (

-2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

2.44)

69.49% (

-2.44)

Uruguay Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

2.01)

13.91% (

-2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.64% (

3.82)

41.36% (

-3.81)

England Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.71% (

-1.06)

44.3% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64% (

-0.88)

80.37% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Uruguay Under-20s 64.5%

England Under-20s 14.67%

Draw 20.82%

Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	England Under-20s
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.58% Total : 64.5%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.7) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.4% Total : 14.67%