Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for England Under-20s had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a England Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.