Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-20s win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.