World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 4pm UK

Peter Mokaba Stadium

South Africa
2 - 0
Lesotho

Ratomo (60'), Adams (64')
Foster (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between South Africa and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 3-0 South Sudan
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Lesotho

Last Game: Morocco 7-0 Lesotho
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 3.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.6%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Lesotho
85.29% ( 0.3)	11.02% ( -0.21)	3.69% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 31.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.92% (

0.53)

40.08% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.55% (

0.55)

62.45% (

-0.55)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.22% (

0.17)

6.78% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.97% (

0.47)

25.03% (

-0.47)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.68% (

-0.06)

66.32% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.44% (

-0.03)

93.56% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

South Africa 85.28%

Lesotho 3.69%

Draw 11.02%

South Africa	Draw	Lesotho
2-0 @ 16.28% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.23% 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 85.28%	1-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.02%	0-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.69%