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Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
Lesotho national football team

Morocco
7 - 0
Lesotho

Diaz (5', 15', 42'), Rahimi (37', 45+2' pen.), En-Nesyri (68'), Saibari (70')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Rasethuntsa (25'), Moerane (45+1'), Malakia Sefoli (56'), Motebang (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-5 Morocco
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 1-0 CAR
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Morocco 3-0 Lesotho

Morocco have been impressive at both ends of the pitch, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them in this one.   We fully expect the home side to cruise to a routine victory when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.14%) and 3-0 (13.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.14%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawLesotho
80.57% (-0.646 -0.65) 14.66% (0.489 0.49) 4.77% (0.1599 0.16)
Both teams to score 28.17% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-1.255 -1.26)50.84% (1.258 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-1.115 -1.12)72.72% (1.119 1.12)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.49000000000001 -0.49)10.41% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-1.129 -1.13)33.96% (1.133 1.13)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.44% (-0.146 -0.15)68.56% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)94.44% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 80.55%
    Lesotho 4.77%
    Draw 14.66%
MoroccoDrawLesotho
2-0 @ 18.26% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 16.14% (0.47 0.47)
3-0 @ 13.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 7.79% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-0 @ 3.53% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.084 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 80.55%
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.354 0.35)
1-1 @ 6.09% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 14.66%
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 4.77%

How you voted: Morocco vs Lesotho

Morocco
88.5%
Draw
11.5%
Lesotho
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Lesotho
0-1
Morocco

Motebang (81'), Toloane (90+1')
Diaz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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