Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 3
Zimbabwe
Dec 29, 2025 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Marrakech
South Africa
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 19' goal
  • Maphosa Modiba 73' goal
  • Aubrey Modiba 73' goal
  • Marvelous Nakamba 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tshepang Moremi 7'
  • yellowcard Sipho Percevale Mbule 34'
  • yellowcard Sipho Mbule 34'
  • goal Lyle Foster 50'
  • goal Oswin Reagan Appollis 82'
  • goal Oswin Appollis 82'

Zimbabwe vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 12.30pm
Angola 1 - 1 Zimbabwe

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Egypt 1 - 0 South Africa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.97% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.55%) and 0-3 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Zimbabwe 11.43% ▼ (-1.10)
Draw 20.97% ▼ (-1.21)
South Africa 67.6% ▲ (+2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.96% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.44% ▲ (+2.03)
Under 2.5 54.56% ▼ (-2.03)
Over 3.5 24.09% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 3.5 75.91% ▼ (-1.66)
Over 4.5 10.79% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 4.5 89.21% ▼ (-1.02)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 46% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 0.5 54% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 1.5 12.73% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 87.27% ▲ (+0.43)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 84.69% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 0.5 15.31% ▼ (-1.46)
Over 1.5 55.96% ▲ (+2.67)
Under 1.5 44.04% ▼ (-2.68)

Score analysis

Zimbabwe 11.43%
Draw 20.97%
South Africa 67.59%
Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.53)
2-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.49)
0-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.68)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.97%
South Africa
0-1 @ 15.51% ▼ (-0.46)
0-2 @ 14.55% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.28)
0-4 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.49)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 67.59%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Zimbabwe
Oct 10, 2025 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
South Africa
  • Knowledge Musona 44' yellowcard
  • Tawanda Chirewa 56' yellowcard
  • Knowledge Musona 63' redcard
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mbekezeli Mbokazi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • redcard Mbekezeli Mbokazi 90'+7'
COSAFA Cup Gameweek 2
South Africa
Jun 7, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Zimbabwe
  • Kamogelo Sebelebele 12' yellowcard
  • Kwandakwensizwa Ishmael Mngonyama 27' yellowcard
  • Kabelo Dlamini 40' goal
  • Ime Okon 78' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Mbeba 58'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Junior Makunike 64'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
South Africa
Jun 11, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Al Salam Stadium
Zimbabwe
  • Iqraam Rayners 1' goal
  • Teboho Mokoena 52' yellowcard
  • Thapelo Morena 55' goal
  • Thapelo Morena 76' goal
  • goal Tawanda Chirewa 2'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Zimbabwe
Mar 27, 2023 11.00pm
South Africa
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
South Africa
Jun 13, 2022 2.00pm
FNB Stadium
Zimbabwe
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
South Africa
Nov 11, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Zimbabwe
  • Teboho Mokoena 26' goal
  • Terrence Mashego 46' yellowcard
  • Thibang Phete 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 56'

Form Data

Angola 1 - 1 Zimbabwe
Egypt 2 - 1 Zimbabwe
Qatar 1 - 2 Zimbabwe
Algeria 3 - 1 Zimbabwe
Lesotho 1 - 0 Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 South Africa
Egypt 1 - 0 South Africa
South Africa 2 - 1 Angola
South Africa 3 - 1 Zambia
South Africa 3 - 1 Zambia
South Africa 3 - 0 Rwanda
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 South Africa