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Africa Cup of Nations

Zimbabwe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 29, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
South Africa national football team

Zimbabwe
vs.
South Africa

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Zimbabwe and South Africa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 1-2 Zimbabwe
Monday, November 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Egypt vs. Zimbabwe
Monday, December 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa

All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zambia
Saturday, November 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: South Africa vs. Angola
Monday, December 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw has a probability of 21.56% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 11.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.73%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it is 1-0 (5.32%).

Result
ZimbabweDrawSouth Africa
11.56% (0.016 0.02)21.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.87% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 37.83% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)54.88% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.19% (0.016 0.02)87.81% (-0.014999999999986 -0.01)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Zimbabwe 11.56%
    South Africa 66.87%
    Draw 21.57%
ZimbabweDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 11.56%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 16.16%
0-2 @ 14.73%
0-3 @ 8.95% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.37%
0-4 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 66.87%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2025 5pm
Group Stage
Zimbabwe
0-0
South Africa
> Preview
Jun 7, 2025 2pm
Group Stage
South Africa
2-0
Zimbabwe
Dlamini (40' pen.), Okon (78')
Sebelebele (12'), Ishmael Mngonyama (27')

Mbeba (58'), (60'), Makunike (64')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
3-1
Zimbabwe
Rayners (1'), Morena (55', 76')
Mokoena (52')
Chirewa (2')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Zimbabwe
P-P
South Africa
Jun 13, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
South Africa
0-0
Zimbabwe