Africa Cup of Nations
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzimlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsaflog.png)
-
Tawanda Maswanhise
19'
-
Maphosa Modiba
73'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
81'
-
Tshepang Moremi
7'
-
Sipho Percevale Mbule
34'
-
Lyle Foster
50'
-
Oswin Reagan Appollis
82'
Zimbabwe vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Flyle-foster-celebrates-scoring-for-south-africa-on-december-22-2025-backpagepix-694c753b368da422640849.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.97% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.55%) and 0-3 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Zimbabwe
11.43%
▼
(-1.10)
Draw
20.97%
▼
(-1.21)
South Africa
67.6%
▲
(+2.31)
Both Teams to Score:
38.96%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.44%
▲
(+2.03)
Under 2.5
54.56%
▼
(-2.03)
Over 3.5
24.09%
▲
(+1.66)
Under 3.5
75.91%
▼
(-1.66)
Over 4.5
10.79%
▲
(+1.02)
Under 4.5
89.21%
▼
(-1.02)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5
46%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 0.5
54%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
12.73%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
87.27%
▲
(+0.43)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
84.69%
▲
(+1.46)
Under 0.5
15.31%
▼
(-1.46)
Over 1.5
55.96%
▲
(+2.67)
Under 1.5
44.04%
▼
(-2.68)
Score analysis
Zimbabwe
11.43%
Draw
20.97%
South Africa
67.59%
Zimbabwe
1-0
@
5.09%
▼
(-0.53)
2-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.43%
2-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.43%
Draw
1-1
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.49)
0-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.68)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.97%
0-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.68)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.97%
South Africa
0-1
@
15.51%
▼
(-0.46)
0-2 @ 14.55% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.28)
0-4 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.49)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 67.59%
0-2 @ 14.55% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.28)
0-4 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.49)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 67.59%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
COSAFA Cup
Gameweek
2
-
Kamogelo Sebelebele
12'
-
Kwandakwensizwa Ishmael Mngonyama
27'
-
Kabelo Dlamini
40'
-
Ime Okon
78'
-
Andrew Mbeba
58'
-
60'
-
Junior Makunike
64'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
-
Iqraam Rayners
1'
-
Teboho Mokoena
52'
-
Thapelo Morena
55'
-
Thapelo Morena
76'
-
Tawanda Chirewa
2'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
-
Teboho Mokoena
26'
-
Terrence Mashego
46'
-
Thibang Phete
59'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
56'