Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%).
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
44.83% | 25.88% | 29.29% |
Both teams to score 52.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.48% | 51.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% | 22.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% | 56.68% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% | 32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% | 68.46% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.33% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |