Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 58.23%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-23s	Draw	Manchester City Under-23s
21.22%	20.54%	58.23%

Both teams to score 62.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.13%

34.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.16%

56.84%

Arsenal Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5%

65.5%

Manchester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.15%

11.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.88%

37.12%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-23s 21.22%

Manchester City Under-23s 58.23%

Draw 20.54%

Arsenal Under-23s	Draw	Manchester City Under-23s
2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.06% Total : 21.22%	1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.65% 2-3 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 3.68% 0-4 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 2.25% 1-5 @ 1.57% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 0.96% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.23%