Derby U23s
0 - 5
Man City U23s

Grewal-Pollard (24'), Clarke (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mcatee (24', 65'), Gyabi (47'), Hamilton (73'), Bobb (80')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Manchester City Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Manchester City Under-23s
25.17%	22.39%	52.44%

Both teams to score 60.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93%

39.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61%

61.39%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42%

28.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63%

64.37%

Manchester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-23s 25.17%

Manchester City Under-23s 52.44%

Draw 22.39%

Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Manchester City Under-23s
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.45% Total : 25.17%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 4% Total : 52.44%