Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
