Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
1 - 1
Szczecin

Wojtuszek (71')
Pietuszewski (79'), Skrzypczak (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koulouris (32')
Ulvestad (27'), Wahlqvist (72'), Loncar (80'), Smolinski (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Jagiellonia
Friday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 3-3 Gdansk
Saturday, May 17 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPogon Szczecin
37.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.54%37.53%
Both teams to score 59.48% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.011000000000003 0.01)43.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)56.47% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 37.94%
    Pogon Szczecin 37.53%
    Draw 24.53%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.94%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.53%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 17
Szczecin
1-1
Jagiellonia
Koulouris (14')
Zech (87')
Imaz (54')
Silva (38'), Churlinov (66')
Apr 26, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Jagiellonia
2-2
Szczecin
Pululu (24'), Imaz (45')
Romanczuk (50'), Dieguez (59'), Sacek (87')
Grosicki (15'), Borges (57')
Ulvestad (62')
Oct 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Szczecin
2-1
Jagiellonia
Koulouris (44'), Grosicki (48' pen.)
Kurzawa (37'), Smolinski (90+6')
Malec (35' og.)
Romanczuk (90+8')