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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.54% ( -2.41) | 20.6% ( -0.86) | 56.86% ( 3.26) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.65% ( 1.42) | 33.34% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.88% ( 1.61) | 55.12% ( -1.61) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( -1.07) | 27.5% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% ( -1.4) | 63% ( 1.4) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.25% ( 1.41) | 11.74% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.1% ( 2.94) | 36.9% ( -2.94) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.38) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.24) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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