Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate3 - 1Estudiantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: River Plate 2-1 Estudiantes
River Plate have proven to be an irresistible force at the Estadio Monumental, and we think that they will edge out Estudiantes to claim a 10th successive home victory in the Primera Division. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes |
67.51% ( 0.01) | 19.69% ( -0) | 12.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
