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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Kasimpasa

Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
Bertolacci (34'), Feghouli (74'), Diagne (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozcan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-2 Kasimpasa

Goals are normally a guarantee when Karagumruk and Kasimpasa butt heads, as the net has rippled 20 times in the last five meetings between the two sides, and a similarly entertaining contest could be on the cards here as both teams play with the shackles off. The Diagne-inspired hosts often make up for their defensive shortcomings with potent attacking play, but Ozdes's side are ending the season in impressive fashion away from home, and we can picture both managers happily accepting a point before preparations commence for the 2023-24 season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
48.32% (0.329 0.33) 23.25% (-0.16 -0.16) 28.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.65% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.653 0.65)40.46% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.667 0.67)62.83% (-0.662 -0.66)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.375 0.38)16.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (0.658 0.66)47.09% (-0.653 -0.65)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.221 0.22)26.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.286 0.29)62.29% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 48.32%
    Kasimpasa 28.42%
    Draw 23.24%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Kasimpasa
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1pm
gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
2-2
Karagumruk
Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 32
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 26
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Karagumruk
1-1
Kasimpasa
Sobiech (45+1')
Biglia (52'), Zukanovic (52'), Viviano (90+2'), Ndao (90+3')
Durmaz (74')
Kara (47')
Kara (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor341112113942-345
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3499164143-236
16KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
17GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


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