Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
79.39% ( -0.05) | 13.31% ( 0.03) | 7.29% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% ( -0.12) | 33.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.81% ( -0.14) | 55.19% ( 0.14) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.38% ( -0.03) | 6.62% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.41% ( -0.09) | 24.59% ( 0.09) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.05% ( -0.05) | 48.95% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.08% ( -0.04) | 83.92% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.39% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.31% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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