MX23RW : Tuesday, June 4 21:19:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Al Amri (72'), Mane (76', 82')
Mane (37'), Al-Khaibari (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sakala (6')
Cimirot (28'), Sabiri (45+3')
Sakala (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-0 Al Okhdood
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fayha

Al Fayha could not have chosen a better time to face Al-Nassr, who are coming off a painful defeat and are set to be without their leader and talisman Cristiano Ronaldo. However, Al-Alami have more than enough reinforcements to unleash here, and their record in this fixture has been incredible for several years. Therefore, while we are not expecting a commanding victory, we do still feel that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
82.1% (0.28 0.28) 11.27% (-0.125 -0.13) 6.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.05% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)24.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)4.49% (-0.0361 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.58% (0.10799999999999 0.11)18.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.468 -0.47)44.03% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.386 -0.39)80.15% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 82.11%
    Al Fayha 6.61%
    Draw 11.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
3-0 @ 9.85% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.74% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 3.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.45% (0.044 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 82.11%
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 11.28%
1-2 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 6.61%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Fayha

Al-Nassr
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Al Fayha
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al Fayha
Otavio (17'), Ronaldo (86')
Castro (16'), Otavio (19'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (79')

Al-Safari (15'), Al-Harthi (36'), Onyekuru (45+4'), Al-Baqawi (54'), Al-Khalaf (58')
Feb 14, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Al Fayha
0-1
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')
Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
1-3
Al-Nassr
Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl-HilalAl-Hilal343130101237896
2Al-Nassr342644100425882
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli34198767353265
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun341611751351659
5Al Ittihad34166126354954
6Al Ettifaq341212104334948
7Al Fateh34129135755245
8Al ShababAl Shabab34128144542344
9Al Fayha341111124452-844
10Damac341011134445-141
11Al RaedAl Raed34910154149-837
12Al Khaleej34910153647-1137
13Al WahdaAl Wahda34106184560-1536
14Al Riyadh34811153357-2435
15Al Okhdood3496193352-1933
RAbha3495203887-4932
RAl Tai3487193464-3031
RAl Hazem34412183476-4224


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