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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 40.36% ( | 25.6% | 34.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( | 48.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( | 70.83% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( | 58.07% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( | 27.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( | 62.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.03% |