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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Macclesfield Town had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Macclesfield Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).
| Result | ||
| Macclesfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 34.95% | 25.81% | 39.24% |
| Both teams to score 54.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% | 49.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% | 71.49% |
| Macclesfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% | 27.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.37% | 62.63% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% | 24.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% | 59.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macclesfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.24% |