May 3, 2025 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT Brunton Park

Stephen Wearne 16'
Matthew Dennis 17'
Terell Thomas 71'
Georgie Kelly 90'+3'

Cole Stockton 36'
Hakeeb Adelakun 62'

Carlisle United vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

L
D
W
W
W
L

League Two

L
D
W
W
W
L

Last game

Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm

Cheltenham 3 - 2 Carlisle

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Matthew Dennis

Salford City

All competitions

W
W
L
D
W
D

League Two

W
W
L
D
W
D

Last game

Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm

Salford City 4 - 1 Colchester

Goals scored

64

Top scorer

Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 37.24% ▲ (+0.92)

Draw 25.43% ▼ (-0.31)

Salford City 37.33% ▼ (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score:

56.23% ▲ (+1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.37% ▲ (+1.38)

Under 2.5 47.63% ▼ (-1.38)

Over 3.5 30.17% ▲ (+1.26)

Under 3.5 69.83% ▼ (-1.26)

Over 4.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.87)

Under 4.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.86)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.96% ▲ (+1.16)

Under 0.5 25.04% ▼ (-1.15)

Over 1.5 40.29% ▲ (+1.57)

Under 1.5 59.71% ▼ (-1.57)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% ▲ (+0.30)

Under 0.5 24.99% ▼ (-0.30)

Over 1.5 40.36% ▲ (+0.42)

Under 1.5 59.64% ▼ (-0.41)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 37.24%

Draw 25.43%

Salford City 37.33%

Carlisle United

1-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.21)

2-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.15)

2-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.06)

3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.19)

3-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.12)

3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.16)

4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 3.66%

Total : 37.24%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.18)

0-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.37)

2-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.15)

3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 0.16%

Total : 25.43%

Salford City

0-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.43)

1-2 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.06)

0-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.25)

1-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.09)

2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.10)

1-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.67%

Total : 37.33%

Head to Head

Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Moor Lane

Haji Mnoga 57'
Josh Austerfield 74'
Jamie Jones 89'

Daniel Adu-Adjei 28'
Harrison Neal 69'
Ben Barclay 88'

Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 0 2

FT Brunton Park

Joe Garner 77'
Kristian Dennis 85'

Callum Hendry 23'
Luke Bolton 28'
Luke Bolton 88'

Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 1

FT The Peninsula Stadium

Matt Smith 52'

Kristian Dennis 3'
Callum Guy 67'
Corey Whelan 72'
Kristian Dennis 80'

Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Ryan Watson 52'
Matt Smith 71'

Morgan Feeney 62'
Omari Patrick 67'
Joe Riley 82'

Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Brennan Dickenson 8'
Tristan Abrahams 29'
Zach Clough 37'
Jon Mellish 60'
Callum Guy 84'

Jordan Turnbull 39'
Josh Morris 44'
Jason Lowe 70'

Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Peninsula Stadium

Ibou Touray 17'
Jordan Turnbull 58'
James Wilson 79'

George Tanner 11'
Rhys Bennett 45'+1'
Jon Mellish 55'

Form Data

Cheltenham 3 - 2 Carlisle

Accrington 1 - 1 Carlisle

Carlisle 3 - 2 Port Vale

Morecambe 0 - 2 Carlisle

Carlisle 3 - 2 Newport

Chesterfield 2 - 1 Carlisle

Salford City 4 - 1 Colchester

Morecambe 1 - 3 Salford City

Salford City 1 - 2 Accrington

Salford City 1 - 1 Doncaster

Notts County 1 - 3 Salford City

Salford City 2 - 2 Gillingham