League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 2
Salford City

Wearne (16'), Dennis (17')
Thomas (71'), Kelly (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Stockton (36'), Adelakun (62')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 4-1 Colchester
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Salford City
37.24% ( 0.91)	25.43% ( -0.3)	37.33% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.37% (

1.38)

47.63% (

-1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.17% (

1.26)

69.83% (

-1.25)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

1.15)

25.04% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

1.57)

59.71% (

-1.56)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

0.3)

24.99% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

0.41)

59.64% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 37.24%

Salford City 37.33%

Draw 25.43%

Carlisle United	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.33%