League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Jordan Thomas 33' goal
  • Ashley Hay 45' goal
  • Arkell Jude-Boyd 81' yellowcard
  • George Miller 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 6'
  • goal Matthew Dennis 29'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Breeze 32'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 33'
  • goal Georgie Kelly 73'

Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Notts County 1 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
George Miller

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Accrington 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 35.76% (+0.27)
Draw 26.41% (+0.05)
Carlisle United 37.83% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.8% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.03% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 51.97% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 26.29% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 73.71% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 12.18% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.82% (+0.10)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.07% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 27.93% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.44% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.56% (-0.10)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 26.73% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 38% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 62% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 35.76%
Draw 26.41%
Carlisle United 37.83%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.52% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.01% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.07% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.47% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.41%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 37.83%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Ethan Robson 46' yellowcard
  • Harrison Neal 69' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 82' yellowcard
  • Dominic Sadi 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ethon Archer 17'
  • yellowcard Sam Stubbs 29'
  • yellowcard Luke Young 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 90'
League One Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • yellowcard Paul Huntington 7'
  • goal Sam Lavelle 42'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 78'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 85'
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Sam Lavelle 38' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 67' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Sercombe 27'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 40'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Long 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 28
Apr 27, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Chris Hussey 56' goal
  • goal Joshua Kayode 33'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 73'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 87'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 45'+3' goal
  • goal Will Boyle 15'
  • goal Conor Thomas 36'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Gethin Jones 46' yellowcard
  • goal Reuben Reid 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 30'