League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
3 - 2
Carlisle

Thomas (33' pen.), Hay (45'), Miller (90+3')
Jude-Boyd (81')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dennis (29'), Kelly (73')
Dennis (6'), Breeze (32'), Hayden (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Cheltenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Carlisle United
35.76% ( 0.27)	26.41% ( 0.05)	37.83% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

-0.17)

51.97% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

-0.15)

73.71% (

0.15)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

0.08)

27.93% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44% (

0.1)

63.56% (

-0.1)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

-0.25)

26.73% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.34)

62% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 35.76%

Carlisle United 37.83%

Draw 26.41%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.76%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.83%