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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
3 - 2
Carlisle

Thomas (33' pen.), Hay (45'), Miller (90+3')
Jude-Boyd (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dennis (29'), Kelly (73')
Dennis (6'), Breeze (32'), Hayden (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Cheltenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Carlisle United

Cheltenham may have bounced back from a difficult spell with some commendable results, but Carlisle are in better form despite the disparity in league position. Additionally, the hosts have been particularly poor at home, while the visitors will be under immense pressure with the threat of relegation looming and will be motivated for every duel. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
35.76% (0.266 0.27) 26.41% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 37.83% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.169 -0.17)51.97% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.146 -0.15)73.71% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)27.93% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.255 -0.25)26.73% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)62% (0.338 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.76%
    Carlisle United 37.83%
    Draw 26.41%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.086 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.83%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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