Friendlies 3

Oct 10, 2024 at 10.30am UK

Thuwanna YTC Stadium

Myanmar
2 - 0
Sri Lanka

Moe Aung (16'), Lwin Maung (53')
Oo Kyaw (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harsha (2')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Myanmar and Sri Lanka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Myanmar

Last Game: North Korea 4-1 Myanmar
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Brunei 1-0 Sri Lanka
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Myanmar	Draw	Sri Lanka
33.23% ( 0.03)	24.46% ( 0.02)	42.31% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.99% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24% (

-0.07)

43.76% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85% (

-0.07)

66.15% (

0.07)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

-0.01)

25.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

-0.02)

60.37% (

0.02)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.05)

20.79% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

-0.08)

53.45% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Myanmar 33.23%

Sri Lanka 42.31%

Draw 24.46%

Myanmar	Draw	Sri Lanka
2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.23%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.31%