UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 23, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Parc des Sports

Differdange
1 - 0
Ordabasy

(4-4 on aggregate)

Jorginho (37')
Rocha Santos Silva (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Makarenko (14'), Erlanov (68'), Maliy (70'), Tungyshbayev (82'), Suyumbayev (82')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Differdange 03 and Ordabasy.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Differdange 03

Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League

Ordabasy

Last Game: Petrocub 1-0 Ordabasy
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Differdange 03 win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Differdange 03 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Differdange 03 in this match.

Result
FC Differdange 03	Draw	Ordabasy
39.95% ( 0.12)	28.35% ( -0)	31.7% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.01% (

-0.02)

59.99% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.77% (

-0.01)

80.23% (

0.02)

FC Differdange 03 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

0.06)

29.34% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.07)

65.32% (

-0.07)

Ordabasy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.09)

34.67% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

-0.1)

71.39% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

FC Differdange 03 39.95%

Ordabasy 31.69%

Draw 28.34%

FC Differdange 03	Draw	Ordabasy
1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 39.95%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.69%