Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saltdean United win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Varndeanians had a probability of 38.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saltdean United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.88%) and 3-1 (4.84%). The likeliest Varndeanians win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saltdean United would win this match.
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