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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hill Park

Saltdean United
3 - 2
Varndeanians

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Saltdean United and Varndeanians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saltdean United

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Varndeanians

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saltdean United win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Varndeanians had a probability of 38.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saltdean United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.88%) and 3-1 (4.84%). The likeliest Varndeanians win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saltdean United would win this match.

Result
Saltdean UnitedDrawVarndeanians
39.42% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)21.87% (0.116 0.12)38.71% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 69.93% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.05% (-0.624 -0.62)29.94% (0.617 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.87% (-0.755 -0.76)51.12% (0.748 0.75)
Saltdean United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.283 -0.28)16.23% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.509 -0.51)45.74% (0.503 0.5)
Varndeanians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.304 -0.3)16.52% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.546 -0.55)46.27% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Saltdean United 39.42%
    Varndeanians 38.71%
    Draw 21.87%
Saltdean UnitedDrawVarndeanians
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.88% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 39.42%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 7.19% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 38.71%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Saltdean United