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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Grange Park

Long Eaton United FC
3 - 2
Boston Town FC

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Long Eaton United FC and Boston Town FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Long Eaton United FC

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Last Game: Long Eaton United FC 1-0 Chesterfield
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Boston Town FC

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Last Game: Boston Town FC 1-0 Sileby Rangers
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Long Eaton United FC win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Boston Town FC had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Long Eaton United FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Boston Town FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Long Eaton United FC would win this match.

Result
Long Eaton United FCDrawBoston Town FC
44.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)22.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)32.61% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 65.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.8%57.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Long Eaton United FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)45.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Boston Town FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.039999999999992 0.04)21.79% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.058 0.06)55% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Long Eaton United FC 44.75%
    Boston Town FC 32.61%
    Draw 22.64%
Long Eaton United FCDrawBoston Town FC
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.61%

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