FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Hartpury University
2 - 0
Risborough Rangers

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Hartpury University and Risborough Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartpury University win with a probability of 58.46%. A win for Risborough Rangers had a probability of 21.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartpury University win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Risborough Rangers win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartpury University would win this match.

Result
Hartpury University	Draw	Risborough Rangers
58.46% ( 0.03)	19.68% ( 0.06)	21.86% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 66.52% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.32% (

-0.44)

29.68% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.2% (

-0.54)

50.8% (

0.54)

Hartpury University Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.82% (

-0.13)

10.18% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.56% (

-0.29)

33.44% (

0.29)

Risborough Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-0.34)

25.94% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-0.46)

60.95% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Hartpury University 58.46%

Risborough Rangers 21.86%

Draw 19.68%

Hartpury University	Draw	Risborough Rangers
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 58.46%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.68%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 21.86%