FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Hanley Town
0 - 1
Stafford Rangers

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Hanley Town and Stafford Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hanley Town

Last Game: Boldmere St Michaels 0-0 Hanley Town (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Stafford Rangers

Last Game: Stafford Rangers 1-4 Crewe
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stafford Rangers win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hanley Town had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stafford Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Hanley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stafford Rangers would win this match.

Result
Hanley Town	Draw	Stafford Rangers
35.53% ( 0.89)	23.6% ( -0.05)	40.87% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 62.76% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.89% (

0.45)

39.1% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

0.48)

61.43% (

-0.47)

Hanley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

0.69)

22.06% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

1.03)

55.4% (

-1.03)

Stafford Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

-0.18)

19.48% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65% (

-0.29)

51.35% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Hanley Town 35.53%

Stafford Rangers 40.87%

Draw 23.6%

Hanley Town	Draw	Stafford Rangers
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.87%

Form Guide

Boldmere St Michaels 0-0 Hanley Town (0-0 pen.)

Hanley Town 1-1 Boldmere St Michaels

Stafford Rangers 1-4 Crewe