FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sir Tom Finney Stadium

Bamber Bridge
1 - 1
Newton Aycliffe

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawson (70')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Bamber Bridge and Newton Aycliffe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bamber Bridge

Last Game: Bamber Bridge 1-2 Salford City
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Newton Aycliffe

Last Game: Newton Aycliffe 3-0 Whitley Bay FC
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newton Aycliffe win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Bamber Bridge had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newton Aycliffe win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.49%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Bamber Bridge win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Bamber Bridge	Draw	Newton Aycliffe
33.59% ( -0.02)	21.83% ( -0)	44.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 68.99% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.25% (

0.01)

30.75% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.91% (

0.02)

52.09% (

-0.01)

Bamber Bridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-0)

19.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-0.01)

50.86% (

0.01)

Newton Aycliffe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

0.01)

14.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25% (

0.02)

42.75% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bamber Bridge 33.59%

Newton Aycliffe 44.58%

Draw 21.83%

Bamber Bridge	Draw	Newton Aycliffe
2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.59%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.58%