Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Generali Arena

Sparta Prague
3 - 4
Lyon

Haraslin (4', 19'), Krejci (90+6')
Haraslin (59'), Pavelka (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Toko Ekambi (42', 88'), Aouar (53'), Paqueta (67')
Henrique (25'), Gusto (52'), Boateng (59'), Toko Ekambi (62'), Dubois (63'), Paqueta (68'), Mendes (85')
Gusto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sparta Prague and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Lyon
26.05%	24.42%	49.54%

Both teams to score 54.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57%

47.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35%

69.65%

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66%

32.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15%

68.85%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13%

50.87%

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 26.05%

Lyon 49.53%

Draw 24.41%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 7.01% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.05%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.53%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Lyon

Sparta Prague

21.4%

Draw

7.9%

Lyon

70.7%