Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7pm UK
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Excelsior

Jong AZ
2 - 1
Excelsior

Robbemond (34'), van Duijn (88')
van Aken (41'), Berkhout (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanches Fernandes (24')
Warmerdam (72'), Bronkhorst (78')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and SBV Excelsior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-4 Jong AZ
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 5-0 Jong PSV
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZDrawSBV Excelsior
30.88% (0.071999999999999 0.07)21.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.59% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 68.83% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.57% (0.10600000000001 0.11)30.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.29% (0.127 0.13)51.71% (-0.128 -0.13)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.091999999999999 0.09)20.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.144 0.14)52.88% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.019999999999996 0.02)13.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)40.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 30.88%
    SBV Excelsior 47.59%
    Draw 21.52%
Jong AZDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.47% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.66% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.59%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
4-2
Jong AZ
Omorowa (19' pen.), Naujoks (65'), Sanches Fernandes (76', 90+4' pen.)
Widell (21'), Bronkhorst (26'), Naujoks (78')
Smit (6'), Daal (11')
Deen (16'), Esajas (45+1'), Smit (90+1')
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Excelsior
3-3
Jong AZ
Niemeijer (30', 66'), Postma (75' og.)
Buurmeester (24', 57'), De Jong (81')
Stam (35')
Dec 6, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Jong AZ
0-2
Excelsior

Buurmeester (65'), Taabouni (66')
Taabouni (84')
Azarkan (80'), Dallinga (90+1')
Azarkan (45')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Jong AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Duin (17', 45+1' pen.)
Berkhout (8')
Mar Omarsson (7')
Wieffer (45')
Baas (78')
Nov 20, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
Excelsior
4-1
Jong AZ
Mar Omarsson (56'), Velthuis (67' og.), Mendes Moreira (83'), Meijer (90+3')
Kunst (88')
Castillo (29')