Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
