Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.