Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
5 - 0
Jong PSV

Widell (8', 63', 73'), Donkor (15'), Sanches Fernandes (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Emmen
Sunday, April 27 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 0-2 FC Eindhoven
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 85.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 4.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 4-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong PSV
85.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)9.78%4.87% (-0.0011000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)45.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)4.09% (-0.00090000000000057 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.85% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.15% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)84.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 85.33%
    Jong PSV 4.87%
    Draw 9.78%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong PSV
3-0 @ 11.14%
2-0 @ 10.45%
4-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.71%
2-1 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-1 @ 3.94%
6-0 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.1%
7-0 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 1.36%
7-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 85.33%
1-1 @ 4.53%
2-2 @ 2.5%
0-0 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 9.78%
1-2 @ 1.57%
0-1 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 4.87%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 10
Jong PSV
1-3
Excelsior
Uneken (80')
Monamay Nsosemo (58'), Kuhn (69'), Ndala (83'), Donkor (88')
Naujoks (9', 13'), Fini (23')
Raatsie (56'), Widell (83'), Loeffen (90+3')
Jan 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
Jong PSV
3-0
Excelsior
Leysen (57'), Bakayoko (68'), Nassoh (78')

Eijgenraam (22'), Duku (75'), Dallinga (85')
Sep 24, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
3-0
Jong PSV
Dallinga (10', 90+1'), Driouech (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (30'), Niemeijer (83'), Dallinga (90+2')

Sealy (76')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Excelsior
0-0
Jong PSV
van der Meer (55')
Kristinsson (90+3')
Aug 29, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Jong PSV
1-6
Excelsior
Timan (86')
Matuta (8'), Kristinsson (90+1')
Mendes Moreira (5'), Zwarts (36'), Oude Kotte (53'), De Haas (72' og.), Mar Omarsson (79', 89')
Mendes Moreira (30'), Ormonde-Ottewill (50')