May 2, 2025 7.00pm

5

0

HT : 2 0

FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Casper Widell 8'
Jacky Donkor 15'
Derensili Sanches Fernandes 60'
Casper Widell 63'
Casper Widell 73'

Tim van den Heuvel 78'

SBV Excelsior vs Jong PSV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
W

Eerste Divisie

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Apr 27, 2025 3.45pm

Excelsior 2 - 0 Emmen

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Jong PSV

All competitions

L
L
W
D
L
L

Eerste Divisie

L
L
W
D
L
L

Last game

Apr 28, 2025 7.00pm

Jong PSV 0 - 2 FC Eindhoven

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Tai Abed

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 85.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 4.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 4-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result

SBV Excelsior 85.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 9.78%

Jong PSV 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

47.89% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 25.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 54.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 45.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 34.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 65.05%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 95.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 82.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 17.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5 49.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 50.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 15.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 84.7% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 85.33%

Draw 9.78%

Jong PSV 4.87%

SBV Excelsior

3-0 @ 11.14%

2-0 @ 10.45%

4-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 7.71%

2-1 @ 7.24%

1-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)

5-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 3.94%

6-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.67%

4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)

6-1 @ 2.1%

7-0 @ 1.39%

5-2 @ 1.36%

Other @ 4.85%

Total : 85.33%

Draw

1-1 @ 4.53%

2-2 @ 2.5%

0-0 @ 2.05%

Other @ 0.71%

Total : 9.78%

Jong PSV

1-2 @ 1.57%

0-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.89%

Total : 4.87%

Head to Head

Oct 21, 2024 7.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 3

FT Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Madi Monamay Nsosemo 58'
Wessel Kuhn 69'
Jesper Uneken 80'
Joel Ndala 83'
Jacky Donkor 88'

Noah Naujoks 9'
Noah Naujoks 13'
Seydou Fini 23'
Calvin Raatsie 56'
Casper Widell 83'
Seb Loeffen 90'+3'

Jan 21, 2022 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Fedde Leysen 57'
Johan Bakayoko 68'
Mohamed Nassoh 78'

Joshua Eijgenraam 22'
Modeste Duku 75'
Thijs Dallinga 85'

Sep 24, 2021 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Thijs Dallinga 10'
Redouan El Yaakoubi 30'
Reuven Niemeijer 83'
Thijs Dallinga 90'+1'
Thijs Dallinga 90'+2'
Couhaib Driouech 90'+3'

Dante Sealy 76'

Apr 2, 2021 7.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Robin van der Meer 55'

Kristofer Kristinsson 90'+3'

Aug 29, 2020 3.30pm

1

6

HT : 0 2

FT

Emmanuel Matuta 8'
Damian Timan 86'
Kristofer Kristinsson 90'+1'

Ahmad Mendes Moreira 5'
Ahmad Mendes Moreira 30'
Joel Zwarts 36'
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill 50'
Thomas Oude Kotte 53'
Justin de Haas 72' (OG)
Elias Mar Omarsson 79'
Elias Mar Omarsson 89'

Jan 27, 2020 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT De Herdgang

Jordan Teze 32'
Chukwunonso Madueke 71'
Chris Gloster 93'
Sekou Sidibe 93'
Cyril Ngonge 95'

Alessandro Damen 17'
Herve Matthys 32'
Sander Fischer 42'

Form Data

Excelsior 2 - 0 Emmen

Volendam 1 - 4 Excelsior

Excelsior 2 - 0 Oss

MVV 1 - 2 Excelsior

Excelsior 3 - 0 Jong Utrecht

FC Eindhoven 1 - 2 Excelsior

Jong PSV 0 - 2 FC Eindhoven

ADO Den Haag 3 - 2 Jong PSV

Jong PSV 3 - 2 MVV

Jong AZ 2 - 2 Jong PSV

Volendam 4 - 0 Jong PSV

Jong PSV 2 - 4 Den Bosch