Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
FC Koln

Barreiro (29')
Caci (28'), Hanche-Olsen (70'), Amiri (83'), Gruda (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kainz (90+5' pen.)
Alidou (28'), Chabot (66'), Uth (66'), Schmitz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	FC Koln
61.03% ( -0.19)	20.72% ( 0.07)	18.25% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

-0.12)

40.28% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.35% (

-0.13)

62.65% (

0.12)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24% (

-0.09)

12.75% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98% (

-0.19)

39.02% (

0.19)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

0.06)

35.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

0.06)

72.36% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 61.03%

FC Koln 18.25%

Draw 20.72%

Mainz 05	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.25%