World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2024 at 6am UK

PNG Football Stadium

P. New Guinea
1 - 2
Solomon Islands

Semmy (90+2', 90+2')
Joe (45+1'), Joe (45+1'), Joe (56'), Joe (56'), Kepo (59'), Kepo (59'), Fox (84'), Kimai (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

David (41', 41'), Lea'alafa (68', 68')
Fox (90+5')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: P. New Guinea 3-3 Fiji
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-3 New Caledonia
Thursday, November 14 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solomon Islands in this match.

Result
Papua New Guinea	Draw	Solomon Islands
25.67% ( -0.52)	23.39% ( 0.21)	50.94% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79% (

-1.42)

43.21% (

1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.39% (

-1.42)

65.61% (

1.42)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

-1.16)

30.39% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-1.4)

66.59% (

1.4)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.41)

17.04% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.74)

47.2% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Papua New Guinea 25.67%

Solomon Islands 50.94%

Draw 23.38%

Papua New Guinea	Draw	Solomon Islands
2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.67%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) Other @ 4% Total : 50.94%