World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 3am UK

PNG Football Stadium

Solomon Islands
2 - 3
New Caledonia

Le'ai (9', 9'), Wae (39', 39')
Kaua (58'), Kaua (58')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Athale (6' pen., 6' pen., 59' pen., 59' pen.), Jacob Waia (69', 69')
Simane (90+12')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Solomon Islands and New Caledonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Next Game: P. New Guinea vs. Solomon Islands
Sunday, November 17 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

New Caledonia

Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Next Game: Fiji vs. New Caledonia
Sunday, November 17 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Caledonia would win this match.

Result
Solomon Islands	Draw	New Caledonia
17.06% ( -1.75)	21.86% ( -0.69)	61.08% ( 2.43)

Both teams to score 50.03% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

0.17)

47.29% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

0.16)

69.52% (

-0.16)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

-1.95)

41.14% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

-1.78)

77.68% (

1.78)

New Caledonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.86)

15% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

1.6)

43.45% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Solomon Islands 17.06%

New Caledonia 61.07%

Draw 21.85%

Solomon Islands	Draw	New Caledonia
1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.06%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.85%	0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.55) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.17) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.07%