World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2024 at 3am UK

PNG Football Stadium

Fiji
1 - 1
New Caledonia

Krishna (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.)
Dunn (40'), Dunn (40'), Cavuilagi (87'), Cavuilagi (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Georges Hnane Katrawa (59', 59')
Haewegene (54'), Haewegene (54'), Jacob Waia (74'), Jacob Waia (74')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Fiji and New Caledonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: P. New Guinea 3-3 Fiji
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

New Caledonia

Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-3 New Caledonia
Thursday, November 14 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Fiji win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Fiji	Draw	New Caledonia
26.03% ( 0.38)	24.83% ( 0.74)	49.13% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 53.33% (

-2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-2.84)

49.2% (

2.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74% (

-2.62)

71.26% (

2.61)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

-1.21)

33.29% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

-1.35)

69.91% (

1.35)

New Caledonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-1.56)

20.05% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73% (

-2.57)

52.27% (

2.56)

Score Analysis

Fiji 26.03%

New Caledonia 49.13%

Draw 24.82%

Fiji	Draw	New Caledonia
1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.13%