World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 6am UK

PNG Football Stadium

P. New Guinea
3 - 3
Fiji

Joe (2', 2'), Kepo (45', 45'), Gunemba (90+4', 90+4')
Kepo (45+5'), Kepo (45+5'), Rani (82'), Rani (82')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Dunn (42', 42'), Krishna (54' pen., 54' pen.), Abel Nand (90+5', 90+5')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Fiji

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Papua New Guinea	Draw	Fiji
15.94% ( 1.26)	19.94% ( 0.8)	64.12% ( -2.07)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18% (

-1.1)

40.82% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79% (

-1.14)

63.21% (

1.14)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

0.97)

38.63% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

0.91)

75.37% (

-0.91)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

-0.88)

12.05% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.46% (

-1.89)

37.54% (

1.89)

Score Analysis

Papua New Guinea 15.94%

Fiji 64.12%

Draw 19.94%

Papua New Guinea	Draw	Fiji
2-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.94%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.94%	0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.71% Total : 64.12%