World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2024 at 8am UK

TFL National Stadium

Solomon Islands
0 - 1
Fiji

Le'ai (44'), Kofana (56'), Leslie (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Krishna (13')
Lairoti (25'), Baravilala (84')
Yada (39')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Solomon Islands and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-3 Hong Kong
Thursday, September 5 at 8am in International Friendlies

Fiji

Last Game: Hong Kong 1-1 Fiji
Sunday, September 8 at 4am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiji in this match.

Result
Solomon Islands	Draw	Fiji
17.28% ( -1.72)	21.8% ( -1.26)	60.92% ( 2.98)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

2.61)

46.7% (

-2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

2.4)

68.97% (

-2.4)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

-0.48)

40.52% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.43)

77.13% (

0.43)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15% (

1.9)

14.85% (

-1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.82% (

3.5)

43.18% (

-3.49)

Score Analysis

Solomon Islands 17.28%

Fiji 60.91%

Draw 21.8%

Solomon Islands	Draw	Fiji
1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.28%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.8%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 10.94% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 3% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.16) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.46% Total : 60.91%