European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
 

Russia U21s
2 - 0
Bulgaria U21s

Glushenkov (1'), Davydov (65')
Glushenkov (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yordanov (59')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Russia Under-21s and Bulgaria Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Bulgaria Under-21s had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Bulgaria Under-21s win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Russia Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
43.25%27.75%29%
Both teams to score 46.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27%58.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74%79.26%
Russia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Bulgaria Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81%
Score Analysis
    Russia Under-21s 43.24%
    Bulgaria Under-21s 29%
    Draw 27.75%
Russia Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29%

rhs 2.0


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