Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 45.86% | 22.48% | 31.65% |
| Both teams to score 65.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% | 34.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% | 56.79% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% | 15.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.15% | 44.84% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% | 22.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% | 55.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-3 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 6.77% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.65% |