Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
45.86% | 22.48% | 31.65% |
Both teams to score 65.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% | 34.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% | 56.79% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% | 15.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% | 44.84% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% | 22.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% | 55.53% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-3 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 6.77% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |