Scottish League One | Gameweek 36

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
2 - 1
Alloa

Johnston (23'), Cole (26')
Flatman (56'), O'Ware (61'), McClure (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rankin (44')
Roberts (57'), Dewar (86'), O'Donnel (90'), Mackenzie (90+1')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Alloa Athletic
27.79% ( -0.11)	23.68% ( -0.19)	48.52% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 58.65% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

0.79)

42.87% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72% (

0.78)

65.27% (

-0.79)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.33)

28.63% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.42)

64.43% (

-0.42)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.17% (

0.42)

17.83% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.43% (

0.72)

48.57% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 27.79%

Alloa Athletic 48.52%

Draw 23.67%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.79%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.71% Total : 48.52%