Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 45.91% ( | 24.64% ( | 29.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( | 68.46% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( | 20.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( | 52.5% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.45% |