Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
| 48.79% ( | 25.98% ( | 25.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( | 54.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( | 75.74% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( | 55.78% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% | 36.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% | 73.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-0 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.23% |