Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Forrester Park 3

Tranent Juniors
0 - 0
Motherwell U21s

FT
(aet)

Ross (5'), Flatman (24')
Tranent Juniors win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Tranent Juniors and Motherwell Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranent Juniors

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Motherwell Under-21s

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Last Game: Motherwell U21s 1-2 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranent Juniors win with a probability of 79.69%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Motherwell Under-21s had a probability of 8.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranent Juniors win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Motherwell Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Tranent JuniorsDrawMotherwell Under-21s
79.69% (-1.633 -1.63)12.26% (0.723 0.72)8.05% (0.9051 0.91)
Both teams to score 57.28% (1.709 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.77% (-0.215 -0.22)24.22% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.1% (-0.283 -0.28)43.9% (0.278 0.28)
Tranent Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.27% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)4.72% (0.2849 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.85% (-0.887 -0.89)19.14% (0.881 0.88)
Motherwell Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (1.967 1.97)39.88% (-1.971 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (1.761 1.76)76.54% (-1.765 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Tranent Juniors 79.69%
    Motherwell Under-21s 8.05%
    Draw 12.26%
Tranent JuniorsDrawMotherwell Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 8.21% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.22 0.22)
4-0 @ 6.82% (-0.471 -0.47)
4-1 @ 6.27% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 4.16% (-0.378 -0.38)
5-1 @ 3.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.116 0.12)
6-0 @ 2.12% (-0.24 -0.24)
6-1 @ 1.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
7-0 @ 0.92% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 79.69%
1-1 @ 5.29% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 12.26%
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.235 0.24)
0-1 @ 1.73% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 8.05%

rhs 2.0


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