Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 20
Apr 4, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Arabi
1 - 3
Al Gharafa

Marafee (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brahimi (45'), Joselu (76'), Fadlalla (81')
Sano (25'), Tamer Khalid (90+4')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Arabi and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Arabi

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar SC 0-0 Al Arabi
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 0-2 Al-Duhail
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.49%) and 3-1 (5.1%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Al ArabiDrawAl Gharafa
41.76% (0.613 0.61)22.22% (-0.279 -0.28)36.02% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 68.21% (1.039 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (1.371 1.37)32.04% (-1.37 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (1.585 1.59)53.61% (-1.583 -1.58)
Al Arabi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.80799999999999 0.81)16.18% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35% (1.45 1.45)45.65% (-1.448 -1.45)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.461 0.46)18.62% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.76900000000001 0.77)49.91% (-0.766 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Al Arabi 41.76%
    Al Gharafa 36.02%
    Draw 22.22%
Al ArabiDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.115 0.12)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 41.76%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-2 @ 7.06% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-3 @ 2.4% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.065 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.02%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Al Gharafa
3-1
Al Arabi
Brahimi (21'), Joselu (77'), Muntari (90')
Surag (51'), Brahimi (87'), Hamed (90+7')
Msakni (62')
Moein Doozandeh (47')
Mar 30, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 19
Al Arabi
0-1
Al Gharafa

Ali (9'), Kala (24'), Gaber (35'), Msakni (50'), Fathy (64'), Keddari (73'), Verratti (77')
Keddari (75')
Alaaeldin (48')
Lyanco (8'), Sano (15'), Alaaeldin (30'), Diaz (90+9')
Nov 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Al Gharafa
5-4
Al Arabi
Brahimi (4' pen.), Sassi (15'), Alganehi (28'), Boli (53'), Boulaya (89')
Ahmed (26'), Brahimi (58'), Diaz (90+5')
Al Somah (10', 34', 83'), Msakni (44' pen.)
Fathy (2'), Gaber (69')