Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.