Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 18
Mar 7, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium

Umm Salal
0 - 1
Al Gharafa


Michael Essien (53'), Al Rashidi (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joselu (45+3')
Yousif (69'), Muntari (90+7')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar SC 2-2 Umm Salal
Friday, February 28 at 1.45pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 0-4 Al-Sadd
Thursday, February 27 at 1.45pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Umm SalalDrawAl Gharafa
33.55% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)22.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.97% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 66.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (0.028000000000006 0.03)34.08% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)55.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)53.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.030000000000001 0.03)16.16% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)45.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Umm Salal 33.55%
    Al Gharafa 43.97%
    Draw 22.49%
Umm SalalDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.18% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 43.97%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Al Gharafa
3-1
Umm Salal
Joselu (62' pen.), Sassi (88'), Hamed (90+8')
Diaz (74')
Mance (49')
Badji (84')
Apr 7, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
Al Gharafa
1-1
Umm Salal
Sassi (65')
Sano (45+3'), Sassi (71')
Gorre (90+3')
Joao (38'), Al-Zereiqi (54'), Tannane (87')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Umm Salal
1-2
Al Gharafa
Gorre (57')
Carteron (37'), Louadni (90'), Hassunin (90'), Al-Sulaimane (90+1'), Tannane (90+3')
Carteron (0')
Boulaya (40'), Sassi (89')
Surag (36'), Traore (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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