Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Umm Salal win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Duhail in this match.