Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 62.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.