Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.