Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 37.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.